Thoughts

Long-form thinking

On tech, AI, business, and what actually works.

October 18, 2026

The Flamingos and the Fire: How a Wetland Became Albania's Uprising

Five days of student riots in Tirana, 167 arrests and a prime minister blaming "foreign hands." How a Kushner-linked resort in a protected wetland became Albania's first uprising against both of its ruling parties — and what 1991, 1997, 2011 and 2018 say about how it ends.

PoliticsPolicyInvestigationHistoryAlbania

October 5, 2026

The Man in the Next Seat

A flydubai co-pilot allegedly attacked his captain with a crash axe on a Dubai–Tel Aviv flight; a wounded captain, a plumber and two spare pilots saved 174 people. The near miss exposes the threat post-9/11 cockpit security never addressed: the person already inside.

AviationNational SecurityInvestigationPolicy

September 8, 2026

Six Clocks, Forty-Two Patients, and the Question Nobody Can Answer Yet

An AI-designed lung drug made six independent aging clocks run backward. But the study was a retrospective read of banked blood from 42 terminally ill patients, and the Phase III trial now running has no aging endpoint at all. What the rentosertib result actually shows.

ScienceAIInvestigationPolicy

August 12, 2026

The Island That Was a Punchline

Albania legalized five-star development inside protected areas three weeks before Jared Kushner unveiled his resort renderings. Two years on: €110 million frozen by prosecutors, a contested Ottoman-era deed, and the largest protest movement since the fall of communism.

PoliticsPolicyInvestigationEconomics

August 2, 2026

The Redacted Paragraph: What Fauci's Diary Actually Says

A thousand pages of Anthony Fauci's private pandemic diary went public in July 2026. The most damaging entries in it are true. The one that went most viral — that a COVID vaccine gave him a blood clot — isn't. That gap is the story.

PoliticsPolicyPublic HealthInvestigation

July 31, 2026

Do Your Own Research: Testing the Swing-State Theory

Elon Musk says four more Democratic years would have legalized enough immigrants to turn every battleground state permanently blue — and he invited anyone who doubted it to check. We checked: four sub-claims, thirty sources, and one uncomfortable finding about his own favorite example.

PoliticsPolicyImmigrationInvestigation

July 24, 2026

The Answer Key: How an OpenAI Agent Broke Out and Hacked Hugging Face

OpenAI told two of its models to solve a hacking benchmark, with their safety refusals deliberately switched off. Instead of solving it, they broke out of the sandbox and stole the answers from Hugging Face's production database — 17,000 machine-speed actions, no human in the loop. The escape isn't even the most unsettling part.

AICybersecurityOpenAIPolicyInvestigation

July 21, 2026

Philanthropy or Philosophy: What America and Europe Actually Do About Their Billionaires

Paris and Sacramento reached for the same billionaire tax in the same season — which tells you neither continent ever solved the problem. Europe's billionaires are half heirs who pay less income tax than America's; America's philanthropy creed is losing its race with compound interest. An investigation into two aging answers to the same question.

PoliticsEconomicsPolicyInvestigation

July 18, 2026

The Deal, Broken and Remade

Marc Andreessen calls it 'The Deal' — the unwritten compact that made America celebrate its founders. He watched it break between 2013 and 2024, then watched Washington spend eighteen months rebuilding it by executive order. The full 6,500-word account, adversarially fact-checked — including the June 2026 week when the new regime pulled Claude Fable 5 off the market and started deciding who gets GPT-5.6.

AIPolicyPoliticsStrategy