Thoughts

Long-form thinking

On tech, AI, business, and what actually works.

June 20, 2026

The Week the Kill Switch Got Two Hands on It

In one week of June 2026, Anthropic quietly throttled its record-breaking Claude Fable 5 for AI researchers, then the U.S. Commerce Department forced Fable 5 and Mythos 5 offline worldwide via an export-control letter. The episode proved a frontier AI model is a strategic asset that can be pulled away overnight — by its maker or by the state.

AIAnthropicClaudePolicyStrategy

June 20, 2026

Addition by Subtraction: What Vercel's Deleted Robot Teaches Small Business

Vercel deleted roughly 80% of its internal AI agent's tools and it got faster, cheaper, and more accurate. The counterintuitive result explains why most business AI fails — and hands small and medium businesses a concrete playbook for landing in the 5% that actually works.

AISmall BusinessAutomationStrategyCase Studies

June 19, 2026

The Margin Machine: What the 2030 Small Business Will Look Like — and How to Build It First

Small businesses now adopt AI faster than big firms — yet roughly 95% of AI projects move no profit at all. Here's what the AI-native small business actually looks like by 2030, and the six-step roadmap that turns cheap intelligence into software-grade margins.

AISmall BusinessStrategyAutomation

June 2, 2026

The Ten-Person Revolution: How Small Businesses Are Quietly Winning With AI

Forget the autonomous "digital employee." The small businesses actually winning with AI in 2026 each did one humbler thing — handed a single tedious chore to a machine, kept a human watching it, and got their afternoons back. Ten real cases, and the wall at the end of the runway.

AISmall BusinessAutomationCase Studies

May 29, 2026

The Model They Tried to Lock Away: How Anthropic's Mythos Is Rewriting the Rules of AI

Anthropic built the most powerful AI model ever benchmarked, then deemed it too dangerous to release. After 10,000 discovered vulnerabilities, a Discord breach, and a CEO warning of a “moment of danger,” Mythos-class models are about to reach everyone.

AIAnthropicCybersecurityClaude

May 29, 2026

The Quiet Win: Where AI Agents Actually Pay Off for a Small Business

AI agents pay off when you point them at a narrow back-office chore — inbox triage, scheduling, invoicing, lead follow-up — and fail when you ask them to autonomously run your business. A practical, skeptic-friendly guide for SMB operators.

AIAutomationSmall BusinessOperations

May 28, 2026

The $3.70 Question: What You Should Actually Get Back for Every Dollar You Spend on AI

The honest answer to what you get per dollar of AI spend is two numbers, not one: $3.70 for the leaders, 5.9% for the average. Which one becomes yours has almost nothing to do with the model and everything to do with preparation.

AIROIEnterpriseStrategy